Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.336246 0.402725 0.483898 0.591996 0.734811 0.920964 1.188817
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.255052 0.338179 0.455399 0.640313 0.940424 1.441318 2.428105
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.200385 0.284978 0.417174 0.654634 1.112334 2.074236 4.740068
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.162082 0.242180 0.377016 0.644495 1.238152 2.775297 8.901960
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.140839 0.219798 0.361925 0.671485 1.462975 4.044822 20.803034
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.120358 0.193479 0.331342 0.652483 1.566810 5.184179 44.280146
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.107660 0.178158 0.317349 0.664719 1.775368 7.297950 140.681070
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.095920 0.162261 0.297964 0.655597 1.914454 9.627574 565.307193
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.088319 0.152934 0.290240 0.674538 2.186330 14.300276 16869.308489
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.082669 0.146473 0.287288 0.706416 2.564852 23.266085 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.077247 0.139563 0.281649 0.728183 2.941292 38.124850 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.072774 0.133955 0.277918 0.755380 3.412809 68.974334 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.068399 0.128066 0.272607 0.777025 3.928113 136.900931 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.064222 0.122066 0.265862 0.791481 4.458581 302.235506 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.059988 0.115381 0.255962 0.789568 4.879560 695.860155 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.055680 0.108011 0.242811 0.768766 5.098070 1531.056961 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.053307 0.104923 0.241318 0.799766 6.036360 17909.339122 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.049716 0.098492 0.228876 0.774615 6.220592 225006.888801 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.047457 0.095067 0.224882 0.789528 7.096557 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.044808 0.090402 0.216311 0.777880 7.550420 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.043140 0.088015 0.214463 0.801620 8.855834 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.041891 0.086552 0.215311 0.841784 10.914496 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.040480 0.084519 0.213944 0.869300 13.049471 NaN NaN